Tennis · W35 Don Benito · 10/07, 10:00
Prediction: Martyna Kubka vs Anastasia Bertacchi
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Anastasia Bertacchi; the market gives 83% to Martyna Kubka (odds 1.13).
On recent form, Martyna Kubka is 8-2 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Anastasia Bertacchi 6-4 over theirs.
67%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martyna Kubka 1547 · Anastasia Bertacchi 1559
| Martyna Kubka | Anastasia Bertacchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Anastasia Bertacchi makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Martyna Kubka | Anastasia Bertacchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-8.5 | 11.7-8.5 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 64.2% |
| Break % | 44.9% | 66.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martyna Kubka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Georgina Hays W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/07 | Anna Shkutova W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/06 | Yeon Woo Ku WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 18/06 | Alina Korneeva WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 14/06 | Polina Iatcenko W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Gabriela Knutson W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Viktoria Morvayova W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 11/06 | Summer Yardley W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 10/06 | Elizaveta Gurianova W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/05 | Tyra Caterina Grant W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Anastasia Bertacchi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Ann Akasha Ceuca W35 Don Benito |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 07/07 | Nahia Berecoechea W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Lisa Zaar W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Ginevra Montebruno W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/06 | Kamila Kashaeva W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/06 | Berta Passola W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Yelyzaveta Chainykova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-9 | W |
| 03/06 | Romy De Baene W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 31/05 | Andre Lukosiute W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 30/05 | Mariia Lazarenko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martyna Kubka vs Anastasia Bertacchi?
Our model gives 67% to Martyna Kubka, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.