Tennis · W35 Don Benito · 09/07, 08:30
Prediction: Lucia Ros Parres vs Viktoria Hruncakova
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Viktoria Hruncakova; the market gives 94% to Viktoria Hruncakova (odds 1.01).
On recent form, Lucia Ros Parres is 3-7 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Viktoria Hruncakova 3-7 over theirs.
77%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucia Ros Parres 1445 · Viktoria Hruncakova 1497
| Lucia Ros Parres | Viktoria Hruncakova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 6% | 94% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Viktoria Hruncakova (rating 1445 vs 1497).
- Note: Lucia Ros Parres makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Viktoria Hruncakova makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Lucia Ros Parres | Viktoria Hruncakova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (8) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.3-11.1 | 10.7-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 12 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 55.4% | 74.7% |
| Break % | 42% | 35.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucia Ros Parres
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Olga Parres Azcoitia W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Lidia Gonzalez W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Lucia Llinares Domingo W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Margaux Maquet W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Anika Jaskova W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Briyana Ivanova W15 Madrid |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 02/06 | Silvia Caliman W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/05 | Agnese Gentili W15 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/12 | Aran Teixido Garcia ITF W15 Melilla · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Viktoria Hruncakova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Aliesia Reva W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/06 | Rebecca Sramkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 17/06 | Yeon Woo Ku WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Hayu Kinoshita WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/06 | Lauryn John-Baptiste W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 31/05 | Greet Minnen WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/05 | Heather Watson WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 22/05 | Susan Bandecchi French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Bianca Andreescu French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 19/05 | Katherine Sebov French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucia Ros Parres vs Viktoria Hruncakova?
Our model gives 77% to Viktoria Hruncakova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.