Tennis · W35 Don Benito · 09/07, 10:00
Prediction: Valentina Ryser vs Celia Cervino Ruiz
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Valentina Ryser; the market gives 72% to Valentina Ryser (odds 1.30).
Recent form leaves Valentina Ryser with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Celia Cervino Ruiz has piled up 7-3 in the same span.
63%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentina Ryser 1568 · Celia Cervino Ruiz 1552
| Valentina Ryser | Celia Cervino Ruiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Valentina Ryser dominates on serve: 6 aces and 51.9% break avg.
- Note: Valentina Ryser makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Valentina Ryser | Celia Cervino Ruiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.3 | 11.1-7.5 |
| Aces | 6 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 72.2% | 59.3% |
| Break % | 51.9% | 53.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentina Ryser
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Demi Tran W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Jeline Vandromme WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Kristina Mladenovic WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/06 | Alana Smith WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-1 | 14-17 | W |
| 14/06 | Sana Garakani WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/06 | Gabriela Knutson W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Ayline Esina Samardzic W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Amra Hercegovac-Sadikovic W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 24/05 | Yuki Naito W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Haruka Kaji W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Celia Cervino Ruiz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Lorena Solar Donoso W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 25/06 | Ayla Aksu W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Paula Ortega Redondo W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Alba Maria Coromina Boluda W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/06 | Valentina Vargas W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/06 | Ru Xi Wu W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Viola Turini W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Vaishnavi Adkar W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Georgina Garcia-Perez W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 27/05 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentina Ryser vs Celia Cervino Ruiz?
Our model gives 63% to Valentina Ryser, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.