Prediction: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Anna Rogers
See it on the live radar ↗Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 69% to Lucrezia Stefanini; the market gives 86% to Lucrezia Stefanini (odds 1.10).
Over their last 10 matches, Lucrezia Stefanini sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Anna Rogers arrives on a 4-6 run.
| Lucrezia Stefanini | Anna Rogers | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucrezia Stefanini (rating 1578 vs 1437).
- Lucrezia Stefanini is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Lucrezia Stefanini 1–0 Anna Rogers (1).
Statistics
| Lucrezia Stefanini | Anna Rogers | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-8.3 | 10.2-11.6 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 55.4% | 55.7% |
| Break % | 48.9% | 42.4% |
H2H · Lucrezia Stefanini 1 – 0 Anna Rogers (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucrezia Stefanini 1–0 Anna Rogers
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/25 WTA Newport | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucrezia Stefanini
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Carol Zhao WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/07 | Savannah Broadus W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/07 | Yexin Ma W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/07 | Kristina Liutova W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/07 | Haruka Kaji W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Yuki Naito W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 24/06 | Katarzyna Kawa Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Luisina Giovannini Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/06 | Yeon Woo Ku WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Anna Rogers
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Sahaja Yamalapalli WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Sofia Johnson W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Maria Sholokhova W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 02/06 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Bella Payne W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/05 | Savannah Broadus W35 Bethany Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Ligaya Murray W35 Bethany Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/05 | Elvina Kalieva W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Haley Giavara W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 30/04 | Maria Lourdes Carle W100 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucrezia Stefanini vs Anna Rogers?
Our model gives 78% to Lucrezia Stefanini, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.