Tennis · W15 Luan · 10/07, 04:00
Prediction: Thasaporn Naklo vs Ikumi Yamazaki
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Ikumi Yamazaki; the market gives 50% to Ikumi Yamazaki (odds 1.83).
Recent form leaves Thasaporn Naklo with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Ikumi Yamazaki has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
51%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thasaporn Naklo 1537 · Ikumi Yamazaki 1550
| Thasaporn Naklo | Ikumi Yamazaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ikumi Yamazaki makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Thasaporn Naklo | Ikumi Yamazaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-8.2 | 11.7-10.1 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 61.5% |
| Break % | 49.6% | 51.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thasaporn Naklo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Alexandra Malova W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Dayeon Back W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Yuno Kitahara W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/06 | Yuno Kitahara W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/06 | Yuki Naito W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Gyeong Seo Lee W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Naomi Xu W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Sae Noguchi W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/05 | Gyeong Seo Lee W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Ekaterina Kuznetsova W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Ikumi Yamazaki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Seo Yun Choi W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Xiaowei Li W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/07 | Anna Snigireva W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Ke Ren W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Aishi Das W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Hiromi Abe W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/06 | Hikaru Sato W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 13/06 | Mayuka Aikawa W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/06 | Natsuki Yoshimoto W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 11/06 | Nao Nishino W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thasaporn Naklo vs Ikumi Yamazaki?
Our model gives 51% to Ikumi Yamazaki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.