Tennis · W15 Rancho Santa Fe · 09/07, 19:30
Prediction: Alyssa Ahn vs Isabella Foshee
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Isabella Foshee; the market gives 73% to Alyssa Ahn (odds 1.28).
Recent form leaves Alyssa Ahn with 4 wins and 6 losses over 10 games; Isabella Foshee has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
62%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alyssa Ahn 1511 · Isabella Foshee 1520
| Alyssa Ahn | Isabella Foshee | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Alyssa Ahn | Isabella Foshee | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-10.5 | 9.2-9.2 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 54.6% | 56.7% |
| Break % | 41.1% | 52.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alyssa Ahn
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Jessica Bernales W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Katherine Hui W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Alexis Nguyen W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Midori Castillo Meza W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Salma Ewing W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 25/06 | Anya Arora W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Anna Tabunshchyk W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/11 | Mary Stoiana ITF W50 Austin · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Elise Mertens US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Haley Giavara ITF W35 Florence |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Isabella Foshee
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Simone Kay W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/05 | Eva Alvarez Sande W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/04 | Maria Aytoyan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/04 | Alina Shcherbinina UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/04 | Klara Kosan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/03 | Tricia Mar UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/03 | Megan Heuser UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/03 | Haley Giavara W35 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/03 | Zoe Hitt W35 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/03 | Miriana Tona W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alyssa Ahn vs Isabella Foshee?
Our model gives 62% to Alyssa Ahn, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.