Tennis · W15 Rancho Santa Fe · 09/07, 19:30
Prediction: Gloriana Nahum vs Natalie Kha
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Natalie Kha; the market gives 66% to Gloriana Nahum (odds 1.40).
On recent form, Gloriana Nahum is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Natalie Kha 7-3 over theirs.
57%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gloriana Nahum 1511 · Natalie Kha 1536
| Gloriana Nahum | Natalie Kha | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Gloriana Nahum | Natalie Kha | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9.1 | 10.8-8.4 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 50.9% | 58.2% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 45.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gloriana Nahum
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Kate Mansfield W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Krisha Mahendran W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Maria B Bandera ITF W35 Norman · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Edda Mamedova UTR Pro Norman Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Alina Shcherbinina UTR Pro Norman Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/10 | Zara Larke UTR Pro Norman Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/10 | Serafima Elizarova UTR Pro Norman Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Georgia Kulevich UTR Pro Norman Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/09 | Amy Gray UTR Pro Norman Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-7 | W |
| 17/08 | Alina Shcherbinina UTR Pro Norman Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
Natalie Kha
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Ariana Morris W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/07 | Elena Goodman W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Kaitlyn Carnicella W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 09/06 | Tanvi Narendran W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/05 | Tatum Evans W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Reagan Levine UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/04 | Emerey Gross UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/04 | Amy Duong UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 23/04 | Maria Aytoyan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Sophie Suh UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gloriana Nahum vs Natalie Kha?
Our model gives 57% to Gloriana Nahum, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.