Tennis · W15 Rancho Santa Fe · 08/07, 21:00
Prediction: Avery Nguyen vs Camille Allegre
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Avery Nguyen; the market gives 56% to Avery Nguyen (odds 1.67).
Over their last 10 matches, Avery Nguyen sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Camille Allegre arrives on a 4-6 run.
56%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Avery Nguyen 1493 · Camille Allegre 1442
| Avery Nguyen | Camille Allegre | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Avery Nguyen (rating 1493 vs 1442).
- Note: Avery Nguyen makes many double faults (4.7/match).
- Note: Camille Allegre makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Avery Nguyen | Camille Allegre | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-9.7 | 8-10.9 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 52.4% |
| Break % | 51.2% | 44.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Avery Nguyen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Vesa Gjinaj W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Amy Zhu W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Tia Messerli W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Patsy Daughters W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Veronika Miroshnichenko W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Lily Fairclough W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-9 | L |
| 27/05 | Lily Taylor W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 26/05 | Juliana Singeorzan W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/04 | Lea Ma W35 Charlotte |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 21/04 | Maria Kononova W35 Charlotte |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
Camille Allegre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Annabelle Xu W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Anya Arora W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 18/06 | Yilin Chen W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/02 | Jiangxue Han W35 Arcadia · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/01 | Abigail Haile UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 31/12 | Hanna Chang UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 29/12 | Olivia Center UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/12 | Anjani Haripriya Vickneswaran UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/12 | Alexia Harmon UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 17/11 | Raphaelle Lacasse ITF W50 Chihuahua Qual |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Avery Nguyen vs Camille Allegre?
Our model gives 56% to Avery Nguyen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.