Tennis · W15 Rancho Santa Fe · 08/07, 21:00
Prediction: Isabella Foshee vs Simone Kay
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Isabella Foshee; the market gives 50% to Isabella Foshee (odds 1.83).
Recent form leaves Isabella Foshee with 4 wins and 6 losses over 10 games; Simone Kay has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
52%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Isabella Foshee 1522 · Simone Kay 1488
| Isabella Foshee | Simone Kay | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Isabella Foshee | Simone Kay | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-9.5 | 9.5-10 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 54.2% | 53.3% |
| Break % | 53.8% | 42.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Isabella Foshee
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05 | Eva Alvarez Sande W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/04 | Maria Aytoyan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/04 | Alina Shcherbinina UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/04 | Klara Kosan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/03 | Tricia Mar UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/03 | Megan Heuser UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/03 | Haley Giavara W35 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/03 | Zoe Hitt W35 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/03 | Miriana Tona W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 04/03 | Sarah Victoria Majesty Nita W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
Simone Kay
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Jane Dunyon W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Salma Ewing W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Madeline Cleary W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Kelly Keller W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Theadora Rabman W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Kenzie Nguyen W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-4 | W |
| 10/06 | Monika Ekstrand W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Angela Ho W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/06 | Emily Golovanov UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 05/06 | Aya Manning UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Isabella Foshee vs Simone Kay?
Our model gives 52% to Isabella Foshee, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.