Prediction: Iryna Shymanovich vs Mary Stoiana
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Mary Stoiana; the market gives 61% to Mary Stoiana (odds 1.53).
On recent form, Iryna Shymanovich is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Mary Stoiana 8-2 over theirs.
| Iryna Shymanovich | Mary Stoiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Iryna Shymanovich 1–0 Mary Stoiana (1).
Statistics
| Iryna Shymanovich | Mary Stoiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 75% (8) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.9 | 13.3-10.5 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.3% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 56% | 61.2% |
H2H · Iryna Shymanovich 1 – 0 Mary Stoiana (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Iryna Shymanovich 1–0 Mary Stoiana
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/25 W100 Charlottesville | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Iryna Shymanovich
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Hayu Kinoshita WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Viktorija Golubic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 25/06 | Katherine Sebov Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 24/06 | Greet Minnen Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Dominika Salkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 10/06 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 08/06 | Clervie Ngounoue WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/06 | Savannah Dada Mascoll WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/06 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Foggia · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 19/05 | Darja Semenistaja French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Mary Stoiana
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Katrina Scott WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Kayla Cross Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Celine Naef WTA Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Lulu Sun WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Kayla Day WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/06 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 04/06 | Celine Naef WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 02/06 | Lulu Sun WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Iryna Shymanovich vs Mary Stoiana?
Our model gives 56% to Mary Stoiana, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.