Tennis · M15 Rancho Santa Fe · 09/07, 18:00
Prediction: Jack Anthrop vs Karl Kazuma Lee
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Jack Anthrop; the market gives 65% to Jack Anthrop (odds 1.44).
On recent form, Jack Anthrop is 8-2 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Karl Kazuma Lee 5-5 over theirs.
60%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jack Anthrop 1565 · Karl Kazuma Lee 1541
| Jack Anthrop | Karl Kazuma Lee | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Karl Kazuma Lee dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 41.8% break avg.
Statistics
| Jack Anthrop | Karl Kazuma Lee | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-8.7 | 11.8-8.9 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 6.6 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 72.7% | 71.9% |
| Break % | 39.7% | 41.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jack Anthrop
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Alexander Chang M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/11 | Aidan Kim ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/11 | Gavin Young ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/11 | Preston Stearns ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 13/11 | Jules Leroux ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 12/11 | JP Day ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/10 | Pedro Rodrigues ITF M15 Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 01/10 | Matt Kuhar ITF M15 Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Antoine Ghibaudo Challenger Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 06/08 | Duncan Chan ITF M25 Southaven · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Karl Kazuma Lee
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Stefan Cooper M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Marco Alvarez M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Rudy Quan M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Alexander Guajardo M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Cesar Cruz M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Alexander Rozin M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Matt Kuhar M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Alexander Petrov M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 27/05 | Vit Kalina M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Joshua Peck M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jack Anthrop vs Karl Kazuma Lee?
Our model gives 60% to Jack Anthrop, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.