Tennis · M25 Dallas · 09/07, 17:00
Prediction: Jerry Roddick vs Bruno Kuzuhara
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Jerry Roddick; the market gives 71% to Bruno Kuzuhara (odds 1.33).
Recent form leaves Jerry Roddick with 4 wins and 6 losses over 10 games; Bruno Kuzuhara has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
62%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jerry Roddick 1484 · Bruno Kuzuhara 1486
| Jerry Roddick | Bruno Kuzuhara | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Jerry Roddick | Bruno Kuzuhara | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.3 | 10.2-9.6 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 44.8% | 39% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jerry Roddick
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Wesley Cotton M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Kaylan Bigun M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Evan Bynoe M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 31/05 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Christian Langmo Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/05 | Daniel Milavsky M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Rafael De Alba M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/04 | Tadeo Meneo M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 26/04 | Mees Rottgering M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
| 24/04 | Rodrigo Alujas M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Bruno Kuzuhara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Stiles Brockett M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Gavin Young M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Alex Rybakov M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | William Manning M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 01/06 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Daniel Masur Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/05 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/05 | Daniel Evans Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/05 | Lucca Liu M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 13/05 | Alex Finkelstein M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
2-0 | 7-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jerry Roddick vs Bruno Kuzuhara?
Our model gives 62% to Bruno Kuzuhara, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.