Tennis · M25 Dallas · 09/07, 17:00
Prediction: William Manning vs Gavin Young
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Gavin Young; the market gives 65% to Gavin Young (odds 1.44).
Over their last 10 matches, William Manning sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Gavin Young arrives on a 6-4 run.
59%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · William Manning 1493 · Gavin Young 1516
| William Manning | Gavin Young | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- William Manning dominates on serve: 8 aces and 58.9% break avg.
Statistics
| William Manning | Gavin Young | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-10.3 | 12.9-12.5 |
| Aces | 8 | 6 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 74.7% | 67.5% |
| Break % | 58.9% | 35.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
William Manning
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Jonah Braswell M25 Dallas |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 04/07 | Edward Winter Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Giles Hussey Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Braden Shick M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Ezekiel Clark M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Enzo Aguiard M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Bruno Kuzuhara M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 09/06 | Maximus Dussault M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/06 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Mikael Arseneault ITF M25 Edwardsville · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Gavin Young
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Luca Pow M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/06 | Jeffrey John Wolf M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Andrew Fenty M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 19/06 | Maximus Dussault M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/06 | Bruno Kuzuhara M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Dhakshineswar Suresh M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Dmitry Popko M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 05/05 | Tiago Torres M25 Loule · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/04 | Tiago Pereira M25 Quinta do Lago · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/03 | Tyler Zink M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in William Manning vs Gavin Young?
Our model gives 59% to Gavin Young, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.