Tennis · UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · 09/07, 15:00
Prediction: Natalie Oliver vs Catherine Rennard
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 69% to Catherine Rennard; the market gives 73% to Catherine Rennard (odds 1.28).
Recent form leaves Natalie Oliver with 4 wins and 6 losses over 10 games; Catherine Rennard has piled up 8-2 in the same span.
71%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Natalie Oliver 1446 · Catherine Rennard 1588
| Natalie Oliver | Catherine Rennard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Catherine Rennard (rating 1446 vs 1588).
- Catherine Rennard is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Natalie Oliver makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Natalie Oliver | Catherine Rennard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.6-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-11.3 | 11.4-5 |
| Aces | 0.2 | – |
| Double faults | 5.7 | – |
| 1st serve % | 59.3% | – |
| Break % | 27.3% | – |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Natalie Oliver
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Lucia Fuduric UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Addison Iacono UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Jane Dunyon UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Reese Frank UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/04 | Joanna Kennedy UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/04 | Emily Golovanov UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/04 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/04 | Tanika Saravanan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/04 | Celine Simunyu UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/04 | Yael Saffar W35 Boca Raton |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Catherine Rennard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Lucia Fuduric UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 19/06 | Audrey Aulia UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Ariana Gilbert UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Nadia Elle Valdez UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Juliana Singeorzan UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/06 | Sadira Ouyang UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/06 | Victoria Flores UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/05 | Esther Vyrlan UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/05 | Isid Hernandez UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/05 | Amina Salibayeva UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Natalie Oliver vs Catherine Rennard?
Our model gives 71% to Catherine Rennard, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.