Tennis · WTA Newport · 09/07, 17:00
Prediction: Katie Volynets vs Kylie Collins
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Katie Volynets; the market gives 87% to Katie Volynets (odds 1.08).
On recent form, Katie Volynets is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Kylie Collins 5-5 over theirs.
73%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katie Volynets 1583 · Kylie Collins 1536
| Katie Volynets | Kylie Collins | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Katie Volynets (rating 1583 vs 1536).
- Note: Kylie Collins makes many double faults (9.4/match).
Statistics
| Katie Volynets | Kylie Collins | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 80% (10) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-9.3 | 10.9-9.4 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 9.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.6% | 61.9% |
| Break % | 52.8% | 47% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katie Volynets
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Ariana Arseneault WTA Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Leolia Jeanjean Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Elizara Yaneva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Laura Samsonova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/06 | McCartney Kessler WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/06 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 13/06 | Panna Udvardy WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/06 | Lin Zhu WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 06/06 | Nao Hibino WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Kylie Collins
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Alana Smith WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Fangran Tian W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Jaeda Daniel W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Ena Koike W35 Rome |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Malaika Rapolu W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Reese Brantmeier W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Alicia Herrero Linana W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 03/06 | Sofia Shapatava W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 02/06 | Jensen Diianni W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katie Volynets vs Kylie Collins?
Our model gives 73% to Katie Volynets, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.