Tennis · M25 Dallas · 09/07, 19:00
Prediction: Alexander Frusina vs Evan Zhu
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Alexander Frusina; the market gives 46% to Alexander Frusina (odds 2.00).
Over their last 10 matches, Alexander Frusina sits at 7-3 (W-L), while Evan Zhu arrives on a 6-4 run.
50%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Frusina 1553 · Evan Zhu 1516
| Alexander Frusina | Evan Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Alexander Frusina makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Alexander Frusina | Evan Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-8.4 | 12-9.4 |
| Aces | 3 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 4 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 53.7% | 47.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Frusina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Xavier Calvelo M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Alex Finkelstein M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/07 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Andrea Paolini M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Ali Habib M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/06 | Milledge Cossu M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/06 | Roger Pascual Ferra M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Alaa Trifi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Liam Branger M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Evan Zhu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Jack Kennedy M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Xiaoyin Yang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 04/06 | Geun Jun Kim M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/05 | Jake Delaney M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/05 | Sora Fukuda M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 29/05 | Shu Matsuoka M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Yua Taka M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Frusina vs Evan Zhu?
Our model gives 50% to Alexander Frusina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.