Tennis · M25 Dallas · 09/07, 19:00

Prediction: Andreja Petrovic vs Trevor Svajda

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Andreja Petrovic; the market gives 66% to Trevor Svajda (odds 1.40).

On recent form, Andreja Petrovic is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Trevor Svajda 3-7 over theirs.

54%2
46% 54%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Andreja Petrovic 1532 · Trevor Svajda 1459
Andreja PetrovicTrevor Svajda
Our model60%40%
Market34%66%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andreja Petrovic (rating 1532 vs 1459).

Statistics

Andreja PetrovicTrevor Svajda
Win %60%40%
Win % · Hard 0% (1) 33% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.90.8-1.4
Games (G-P)10.5-9.611-11.7
Aces1.34.8
Double faults3.42.4
1st serve %65.2%68.1%
Break %46.3%37.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Andreja Petrovic

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Dakotah Bobo
M25 Dallas
2-0 12-4 W
10/06 Andrea Fiorentini
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
03/05 Nick Hardt
M15 Orange Park · ~Clay
1-2 11-13 L
02/05 Raphael Perot
M15 Orange Park · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
01/05 Michael Antonius
M15 Orange Park · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
30/04 Andrew Johnson
M15 Orange Park · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
29/04 Maxime St-Hilaire
M15 Orange Park · ~Clay
2-1 17-17 W
23/04 Felix Corwin
M15 Orlando · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
22/04 Teodor Davidov
M15 Orlando · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
16/04 Yannik Alvarez
M15 Orlando · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L

Trevor Svajda

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Maximus Dussault
M25 Dallas
2-1 17-12 W
29/06 Yuta Shimizu
Challenger Cary · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
28/06 Jie Cui
Challenger Cary · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
03/06 Edas Butvilas
Challenger Tyler · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
27/05 Colton Smith
Challenger Little Rock · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
04/03 Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Indian Wells · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
03/03 Luca Nardi
ATP Indian Wells · Hard
2-1 17-15 W
11/02 Ethan Quinn
ATP Dallas · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
29/01 Liam Draxl
Challenger San Diego · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
27/01 Micah Braswell
Challenger San Diego · Hard
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Andreja Petrovic vs Trevor Svajda?

Our model gives 54% to Trevor Svajda, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.