Tennis · M25 Dallas · 09/07, 19:00
Prediction: Mees Rottgering vs Aidan Kim
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Mees Rottgering; the market gives 61% to Mees Rottgering (odds 1.53).
Recent form leaves Mees Rottgering with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Aidan Kim has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
57%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mees Rottgering 1576 · Aidan Kim 1553
| Mees Rottgering | Aidan Kim | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mees Rottgering makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Mees Rottgering | Aidan Kim | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-8.3 | 11.5-8.6 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 76.7% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 65.7% | 55.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mees Rottgering
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Billy Suarez M25 Dallas |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Peter Buldorini Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/04 | Jerry Roddick M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
| 25/04 | Daniel Milavsky M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 24/04 | Marco Alvarez M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
| 23/04 | Jesus Amezcua M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 25/03 | Daniil Kakhniuk M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/03 | Andrew Fenty M15 Montreal |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Aidan Kim
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Alejandro Hernandez Gutierrez M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/07 | Bryce Nakashima M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Liam Krall M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Theodore Dean M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Joaquim Almeida M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Alexander Chang M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 26/06 | Spencer Johnson M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Hiroki Sakagawa M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Brayden Tallakson M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Liam Draxl Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mees Rottgering vs Aidan Kim?
Our model gives 57% to Mees Rottgering, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.