Tennis · WTA Newport · 09/07, 17:00
Prediction: Madison Brengle vs Kayla Cross
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 64% to Madison Brengle; the market gives 72% to Madison Brengle (odds 1.30).
On recent form, Madison Brengle is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Kayla Cross 4-6 over theirs.
68%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Madison Brengle 1573 · Kayla Cross 1475
| Madison Brengle | Kayla Cross | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Madison Brengle (rating 1573 vs 1475).
- Madison Brengle is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Kayla Cross makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Madison Brengle | Kayla Cross | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 100% (1) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 0.8-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-8.2 | 8.7-10.2 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 57.2% | 61.8% |
| Break % | 48.4% | 37.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Madison Brengle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Ana Sofia Sanchez WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Tatum Evans W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Maya Iyengar W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Amelia Honer W35 Rome |
0-1 | 5-6 | L |
| 25/06 | Ekaterina Khayrutdinova W35 Rome |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Nadia Elle Valdez W35 Rome |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/06 | Lea Ma W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Sahaja Yamalapalli W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/06 | Malaika Rapolu W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Carolina Gomez W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
Kayla Cross
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Sayaka Ishii WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Mary Stoiana Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Tereza Martincova WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Megan Knight WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/05 | Mingge Xu WTA Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 19/05 | Rebecca Sramkova French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/04 | Akasha Urhobo W100 Charlottesville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/04 | Katrina Scott W100 Charlottesville |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/04 | Eryn Cayetano W100 Charlottesville |
1-0 | 8-6 | W |
| 10/04 | Yulia Putintseva Billie Jean King Cup |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Madison Brengle vs Kayla Cross?
Our model gives 68% to Madison Brengle, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.