Tennis · UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · 09/07, 16:30
Prediction: Mariana Manyoma vs Lyla Byers
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 75% to Mariana Manyoma; the market gives 79% to Mariana Manyoma (odds 1.17).
Recent form leaves Mariana Manyoma with 9 wins and 1 losses over 10 games; Lyla Byers has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
78%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mariana Manyoma 1633 · Lyla Byers 1439
| Mariana Manyoma | Lyla Byers | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 25% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mariana Manyoma (rating 1633 vs 1439).
- Mariana Manyoma is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Note: Mariana Manyoma makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Mariana Manyoma | Lyla Byers | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (9) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.3 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-8.1 | 8.9-11.2 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 62.5% |
| Break % | 57.5% | 38.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mariana Manyoma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Victoria Mann UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Andrea Chacon UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/06 | Amina Salibayeva UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/06 | Anna Parkhomenko UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 11/06 | Anna Grigoreva UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Marina Fuduric UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Nikoline Gullacksen UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/05 | Shravani Chennamsetty UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/05 | Ellison Reynoldson UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 21/05 | Skye Madatali UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Lyla Byers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Andrea Chacon UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/12 | Lucia Fuduric UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 13/12 | Kerrigan Spiers UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/12 | Amina Salibayeva UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/12 | Georgia Kulevich UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 08/12 | Vanesa Suarez UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Natalia Perez UTR Pro Blacksburg Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Shona Nakano UTR Pro Blacksburg Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 01/08 | Emmi Kolyszko UTR Pro Blacksburg Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/07 | Tara Gorinsek UTR Pro Blacksburg Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mariana Manyoma vs Lyla Byers?
Our model gives 78% to Mariana Manyoma, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.