Tennis · W35 Don Benito · 09/07, 08:30

Prediction: Noemi Maines vs Victoria Allen

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Noemi Maines; the market gives 65% to Victoria Allen (odds 1.44).

Recent form leaves Noemi Maines with 4 wins and 6 losses over 10 games; Victoria Allen has piled up 4-6 in the same span.

57%2
43% 57%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Noemi Maines 1487 · Victoria Allen 1467
Noemi MainesVictoria Allen
Our model53%47%
Market35%65%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Noemi Maines makes many double faults (4.1/match).

Statistics

Noemi MainesVictoria Allen
Win %50%40%
Win % · Clay 44% (9) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)1-1.11-1.3
Games (G-P)7.6-8.59.6-10.5
Aces0.62.2
Double faults4.12.2
1st serve %56.9%63.8%
Break %52.1%41.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Noemi Maines

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Ashleigh Harvey
W35 Don Benito
2-0 13-8 W
24/06 Noemi Basiletti
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
22/06 Laetitia Pulchartova
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
2-1 9-6 W
10/06 Lorena Solar Donoso
W35 Casablanca · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
05/06 Nina Vargova
W15 Casablanca · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
04/06 Aaddi Gupta
W15 Casablanca · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
03/06 Meritxell Teixido Garcia
W15 Casablanca · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
19/05 Matilde Paoletti
W15 Grado · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
10/05 Ekaterina Tupitsyna
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
09/05 Sandra Samir
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Victoria Allen

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Maria Oliver Sanchez
W35 Don Benito
2-0 12-3 W
30/06 Antonia Stoyanov
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
07/06 Ranah Akua Stoiber
WTA Ilkley · Grass
0-2 7-12 L
30/05 Tereza Martincova
WTA Birmingham · Grass
0-2 5-12 L
21/05 Indianna Spink
W35 Estepona · ~Hard
1-2 14-13 L
20/05 Valentina Losciale
W35 Estepona · ~Hard
2-1 14-14 W
05/05 Jana Otzipka
W35 Nottingham
0-2 3-12 L
01/05 Yuriko Lily Miyazaki
W35 Nottingham
1-2 10-14 L
30/04 Esther Adeshina
W35 Nottingham
2-0 13-7 W
29/04 Sabastiani Leon
W35 Nottingham
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Noemi Maines vs Victoria Allen?

Our model gives 57% to Victoria Allen, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.