Tennis · W35 Don Benito · 09/07, 08:30

Prediction: Ann Akasha Ceuca vs Anastasia Bertacchi

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Ann Akasha Ceuca; the market gives 56% to Anastasia Bertacchi (odds 1.67).

Over their last 10 matches, Ann Akasha Ceuca sits at 8-2 (W-L), while Anastasia Bertacchi arrives on a 7-3 run.

53%2
47% 53%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ann Akasha Ceuca 1551 · Anastasia Bertacchi 1544
Ann Akasha CeucaAnastasia Bertacchi
Our model51%49%
Market44%56%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Anastasia Bertacchi makes many double faults (4.8/match).

Statistics

Ann Akasha CeucaAnastasia Bertacchi
Win %70%70%
Win % · Hard 71% (7) 67% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.71.5-0.6
Games (G-P)10.8-8.111.3-7.5
Aces0.70.7
Double faults2.84.8
1st serve %62.9%64.3%
Break %47.7%66.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ann Akasha Ceuca

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Naomi McKenzie
W35 Don Benito
2-0 12-8 W
30/06 Ipek Oz
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
29/06 Kateryna Diatlova
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay
2-1 16-17 W
11/06 Semra Aksu
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
1-2 10-9 L
10/06 Annika Barth
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 13-5 W
07/06 Deniz Dilek
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
06/06 Marie Villet
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
05/06 Ksenia Smirnova
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
04/06 Ada Kumru
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
03/06 Mariya Dobreva
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Anastasia Bertacchi

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Nahia Berecoechea
W35 Don Benito
2-0 13-10 W
30/06 Lisa Zaar
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
29/06 Ginevra Montebruno
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
28/06 Kamila Kashaeva
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
05/06 Berta Passola
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
04/06 Yelyzaveta Chainykova
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-9 W
03/06 Romy De Baene
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
31/05 Andre Lukosiute
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 14-14 L
30/05 Mariia Lazarenko
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
29/05 Luciana Moyano
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ann Akasha Ceuca vs Anastasia Bertacchi?

Our model gives 53% to Anastasia Bertacchi, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.