Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 09/07, 09:00
Prediction: Kali Supova vs Dusica Popovski
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Kali Supova; the market gives 58% to Kali Supova (odds 1.61).
Recent form leaves Kali Supova with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Dusica Popovski has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
56%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kali Supova 1532 · Dusica Popovski 1509
| Kali Supova | Dusica Popovski | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Kali Supova makes many double faults (5.3/match).
- Note: Dusica Popovski makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Kali Supova | Dusica Popovski | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-8.8 | 9.9-7.7 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 57.7% | 58.3% |
| Break % | 45% | 65.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kali Supova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Manon Favier W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Eszter Meri W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Melissa Boyden W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Aleksandra Janiszewska W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Weronika Falkowska W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-8 | L |
| 07/06 | Kiara Zabkova W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/06 | Ziva Falkner W15 Osijek · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 05/06 | Salma Drugdova W15 Osijek · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Valeriia Artemeva W15 Osijek · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 18/05 | Ayla Aksu W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
Dusica Popovski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Ena Ilic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/06 | Ksenia Zaytseva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 26/06 | Tian Jialin W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 25/06 | Patricia Georgiana Goina W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Mariya Yemshanova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/06 | Elena Milovanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
| 02/06 | Alexandra Irina Anghel W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/05 | Mia Horvit W15 Beograd · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 06/05 | Stela Dzimovic W15 Beograd · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/04 | Jana Bojovic UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kali Supova vs Dusica Popovski?
Our model gives 56% to Kali Supova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.