Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 17/07, 08:30
Prediction: Rikke De Koning vs Sophie Greiner
Prediction summary
Winner
Rikke De Koning
Sophie Greiner
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Rikke De Koning
5-5 (W-L)
Sophie Greiner
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rikke De Koning 1509 · Sophie Greiner 1579
| Rikke De Koning | Sophie Greiner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sophie Greiner (rating 1509 vs 1579).
- Sophie Greiner is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Rikke De Koning makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Rikke De Koning | Sophie Greiner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.5 | 11.9-8.4 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 57.6% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 65% | 53.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rikke De Koning
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Gloria De Santis W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Emira Diabate W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 06/07 | Jenny Lim W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Sara Cakarevic W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Carmen Andreea Herea W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 29/06 | Polina Kuharenko W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Charlotte Narti W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Rebecca Peterson W15 Kalmar · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 28/04 | Eva Marie Voracek W15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 18/04 | Michelle Dzjachangirova UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
Sophie Greiner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Nina Tepic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Noemi La Cagnina W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Anastasiia Firman W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Milana Maslenkova W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 23/06 | Ariane Paulus W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/06 | Daria Yesypchuk W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 05/06 | Ana Ioana Varsa W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/06 | Alexia Ioana Tatu W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/06 | Anamaria Federica Oana W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rikke De Koning vs Sophie Greiner?
Our model gives 54% to Rikke De Koning, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.