Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 16/07, 13:30
Prediction: Lucia Natal vs Charlotte Pikkaart
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucia Natal
Charlotte Pikkaart
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Lucia Natal
1-9 (W-L)
Charlotte Pikkaart
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucia Natal 1477 · Charlotte Pikkaart 1494
| Lucia Natal | Charlotte Pikkaart | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Lucia Natal makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Lucia Natal | Charlotte Pikkaart | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.4-11.8 | 7.9-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 53.8% | 49.8% |
| Break % | 36.6% | 46.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucia Natal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Ariana Geerlings W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 10/07 | Elza Tomase W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Cayetana Gay W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Georgina Hays W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 13/05 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 06/05 | Polona Hercog W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/03 | Despina Papamichail W50 Chihuahua |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/03 | Jenna Dean W50 Chihuahua |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 18/02 | Maria Sara Popa W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Charlotte Pikkaart
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Teodora Vlajic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/07 | Lia Karatancheva W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Anika Jaskova W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Eva Marie Voracek W15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Tina Manescu W15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/04 | Venla Ahti W15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/04 | Diana Marcinkevica UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 03/04 | Rita Freitas UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/04 | Mia Chudejova UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/03 | Polina Leykina UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucia Natal vs Charlotte Pikkaart?
Our model gives 59% to Lucia Natal, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.