Prediction: Alina Tikhonova vs Junhan Zhang
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Alina Tikhonova; the market gives 69% to Alina Tikhonova (odds 1.36).
On recent form, Alina Tikhonova is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Junhan Zhang 4-6 over theirs.
65%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alina Tikhonova 1580 · Junhan Zhang 1499
| Alina Tikhonova | Junhan Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alina Tikhonova (rating 1580 vs 1499).
- Alina Tikhonova is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alina Tikhonova | Junhan Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-8 | 11.2-12.2 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 55.2% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 65.2% | 38.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alina Tikhonova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Onyu Choi W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Yuhan Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/05 | JiaYi Wang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
| 16/05 | Xi Luo W15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-4 | W |
| 15/05 | Sandugash Kenzhibayeva W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/05 | Su Jin Kim W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/05 | Chengyiyi Yuan W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/05 | Ruirui Zou W15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 08/05 | Maria Kalyakina W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 05/05 | Yiru Chen W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Junhan Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Eva Marie Desvignes W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Anna Snigireva W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Evialina Laskevich W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Chenting Zhu W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Ekaterina Yashina W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Yidi Yang W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 11/06 | Mei Yamaguchi W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Yufei Ren W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/06 | Patcharin Cheapchandej W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 31/05 | Anna Yang W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alina Tikhonova vs Junhan Zhang?
Our model gives 65% to Alina Tikhonova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.