Tennis · W15 Rancho Santa Fe · 08/07, 19:30

Prediction: Amy Lee vs Misa Malkin

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Amy Lee; the market gives 77% to Misa Malkin (odds 1.22).

On recent form, Amy Lee is 3-7 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Misa Malkin 3-7 over theirs.

65%2
35% 65%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Amy Lee 1481 · Misa Malkin 1482
Amy LeeMisa Malkin
Our model50%50%
Market23%77%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Amy LeeMisa Malkin
Win %40%40%
Win % · Hard 33% (9) 50% (6)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.40.8-1.3
Games (G-P)10.1-11.77.7-9.6
Aces0.50.1
Double faults2.51.7
1st serve %54.8%49.5%
Break %43.7%49.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Amy Lee

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Isabel Pascual Montalvo
W15 Rancho Santa Fe
2-0 13-8 W
03/06 Kailey Evans
W15 Lakewood · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
22/04 Ariana Gilbert
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
2-1 15-15 W
20/04 Zimora Mcknight
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
2-1 16-14 W
09/03 Lyric Bonilla
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
15/02 Elen Jantacova
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
12/02 Klara Kosan
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
12/02 Eduarda Piai
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
1-2 13-16 L
11/02 Shakhnoza Khatamova
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
10/02 Raegan Farm
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
0-2 7-13 L

Misa Malkin

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/06 Elizabeth Ionescu
W35 Rome
0-2 9-13 L
23/06 Maddy Zampardo
W35 Rome
2-0 12-6 W
10/06 Jaedan Brown
W35 Decatur · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
07/04 Amelie Van Impe
W35 Boca Raton
0-2 0-12 L
13/03 Diletta Cherubini
W35 Huamantla · ~Hard
0-2 4-11 L
12/03 Claudia Sofia Martinez Solis
W35 Huamantla · ~Hard
2-1 16-12 W
11/03 Victoria Rodriguez
W35 Huamantla · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
09/03 Africa Guzman Garcia
W35 Huamantla · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
05/03 Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
W15 Huamantla · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
18/02 Alexandra Vagramov
W15 Palm Coast
0-2 1-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Amy Lee vs Misa Malkin?

Our model gives 65% to Misa Malkin, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.