Tennis · M15 Rancho Santa Fe · 08/07, 18:00
Prediction: Rudy Quan vs Henry Ren
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Rudy Quan; the market gives 88% to Rudy Quan (odds 1.07).
On recent form, Rudy Quan is 2-8 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Henry Ren 5-5 over theirs.
71%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rudy Quan 1456 · Henry Ren 1444
| Rudy Quan | Henry Ren | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Rudy Quan | Henry Ren | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (8) | 14% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-12.7 | 9.7-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 63.3% | 66% |
| Break % | 44.3% | 36.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rudy Quan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Theodore Dean M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Kenta Miyoshi M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 18/06 | Karl Kazuma Lee M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Emon Van Loben Sels M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 06/10 | Gus Grumet Challenger Fairfield · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 17/09 | Alexander Kotzen ITF M15 Fayetteville · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Joshua Sheehy Challenger Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 14/08 | Justin Roberts ITF M15 Huntsville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Nicholas Heng ITF M15 Huntsville · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 07/08 | Ryan Dickerson ITF M25 Southaven · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Henry Ren
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Lev Seidman M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Liam Krall M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Hugo Hashimoto M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-8 | L |
| 20/06 | Manveer Boparai UTR Pro Seattle · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Jack Davison UTR Pro Seattle · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 19/06 | Charles Frey UTR Pro Seattle · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Graeme Angus UTR Pro Seattle · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Nikola Plavsic UTR Pro Seattle · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/05 | Omar Rhazali UTR Pro Concord · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/05 | Maksim Tikhomirov UTR Pro Concord · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rudy Quan vs Henry Ren?
Our model gives 71% to Rudy Quan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.