Tennis · M15 Rancho Santa Fe · 08/07, 18:00
Prediction: Hugo Hashimoto vs Noah Johnston
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Noah Johnston; the market gives 56% to Noah Johnston (odds 1.67).
Recent form leaves Hugo Hashimoto with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Noah Johnston has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
55%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hugo Hashimoto 1511 · Noah Johnston 1542
| Hugo Hashimoto | Noah Johnston | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Hugo Hashimoto | Noah Johnston | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-9.2 | 11-9.7 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 66.5% |
| Break % | 33.9% | 58.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hugo Hashimoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Kyle Overmyer M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 9-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Joaquim Almeida M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Henry Ren M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-1 | 8-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Liam Krall M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Elijah Cham UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Hiiro Sakamoto UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/06 | Toa Maeda UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/05 | Dong Ju Kim M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 27/05 | Woong Bi Lee M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Noah Johnston
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Noah Zamora M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Ozan Baris M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Kaylan Bigun M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 28/05 | Lucas Marionneau M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 26/05 | Matt Kuhar M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/01 | Sachin Palta UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 10/01 | Santiago Giamichelle UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 09/01 | Elias Shokry UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/01 | Sutton Severance UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/01 | Andrew Kotzen UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hugo Hashimoto vs Noah Johnston?
Our model gives 55% to Noah Johnston, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.