Prediction: Hiroki Sakagawa vs Roshan Santhosh
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Hiroki Sakagawa; the market gives 66% to Hiroki Sakagawa (odds 1.40).
Over their last 10 matches, Hiroki Sakagawa sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Roshan Santhosh arrives on a 2-8 run.
| Hiroki Sakagawa | Roshan Santhosh | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Hiroki Sakagawa 1–0 Roshan Santhosh (1).
Statistics
| Hiroki Sakagawa | Roshan Santhosh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-8.8 | 9.3-11.5 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 54.8% |
| Break % | 57.2% | 39.5% |
H2H · Hiroki Sakagawa 1 – 0 Roshan Santhosh (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hiroki Sakagawa 1–0 Roshan Santhosh
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/26 M15 Claremont | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hiroki Sakagawa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Constantinos Djakouris M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 25/06 | Aidan Kim M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Roshan Santhosh M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Nathan Cox M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-6 | W |
| 16/12 | Ilya Snitari UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/12 | Ford McCollum UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 06/12 | Naara Shin UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 05/12 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/12 | John Cross UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/12 | George Hakopian UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Roshan Santhosh
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Liam Krall M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Nicholas Godsick M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/06 | Hiroki Sakagawa M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Connor Church UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Noah Zamora M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Alessandro-D Ventre UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 20/09 | Tal Goodman UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 20/09 | Benjamin Berger UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 13-16 | W |
| 18/09 | Maciej Rajski UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Andreas Loizas UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hiroki Sakagawa vs Roshan Santhosh?
Our model gives 61% to Hiroki Sakagawa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.