Tennis · M15 Rancho Santa Fe · 08/07, 21:00

Prediction: Karl Kazuma Lee vs Stefan Cooper

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 68% to Karl Kazuma Lee; the market gives 75% to Karl Kazuma Lee (odds 1.25).

Over their last 10 matches, Karl Kazuma Lee sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Stefan Cooper arrives on a 5-5 run.

72%1
72% 28%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Karl Kazuma Lee 1532 · Stefan Cooper 1405
Karl Kazuma LeeStefan Cooper
Our model68%32%
Market75%25%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Karl Kazuma Lee (rating 1532 vs 1405).
  • Karl Kazuma Lee is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Karl Kazuma Lee 1–0 Stefan Cooper (1).
  • Note: Stefan Cooper makes many double faults (4.7/match).

Statistics

Karl Kazuma LeeStefan Cooper
Win %60%30%
Win % · Hard 56% (9) 30% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.5-10.9-1.4
Games (G-P)11.1-9.39-10.4
Aces5.94.9
Double faults14.7
1st serve %69.6%71.5%
Break %37.8%25.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

H2H · Karl Kazuma Lee 10 Stefan Cooper (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Karl Kazuma Lee 10 Stefan Cooper

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DateSetsGamesRes.
30/10/25
UTR Pro Newport Beach
2-013-10W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Karl Kazuma Lee

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Marco Alvarez
M15 Rancho Santa Fe
2-0 12-5 W
18/06 Rudy Quan
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
1-2 13-13 L
18/06 Alexander Guajardo
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
16/06 Cesar Cruz
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
11/06 Alexander Rozin
M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard
1-2 10-15 L
11/06 Matt Kuhar
M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
09/06 Alexander Petrov
M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard
2-1 12-11 W
27/05 Vit Kalina
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
1-2 13-13 L
26/05 Joshua Peck
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
2-1 10-10 W
23/05 Xavier Calvelo
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Stefan Cooper

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Vit Kalina
M15 San Diego · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
26/06 Charlie Underwood
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
25/06 Andy Nguyen
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 11-15 L
24/06 Brock Anderson
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 15-15 L
10/06 Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
1-2 10-15 L
04/06 Ivan Marrero Curbelo
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
02/06 Cagan Efe Tufekci
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 11-2 W
29/05 Pablo Perez Ramos
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
28/05 Rafael De Alba
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
27/05 Thomas Nicholas Gadecki
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Karl Kazuma Lee vs Stefan Cooper?

Our model gives 72% to Karl Kazuma Lee, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.