Tennis · M25 Dallas · 09/07, 17:00
Prediction: Matthew Forbes vs Evan Bynoe
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Matthew Forbes; the market gives 65% to Matthew Forbes (odds 1.44).
Recent form leaves Matthew Forbes with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Evan Bynoe has piled up 2-8 in the same span.
62%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matthew Forbes 1520 · Evan Bynoe 1451
| Matthew Forbes | Evan Bynoe | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matthew Forbes (rating 1520 vs 1451).
- Matthew Forbes dominates on serve: 8.8 aces and 53.4% break avg.
- Matthew Forbes is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Matthew Forbes makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Matthew Forbes | Evan Bynoe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.5-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.2 | 7.9-11.1 |
| Aces | 8.8 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 79.9% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 53.4% | 41.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthew Forbes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Jie Cui M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/02 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Baton Rouge · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/01 | William Grant M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/01 | Dhakshineswar Suresh M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/11 | Aidan Mchugh ITF M25 East Lansing · Hard |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 06/11 | Sasha Colleu ITF M25 East Lansing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/11 | Vuk Radjenovic ITF M25 East Lansing · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 26/10 | Raphael Perot ITF M25 Norman · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 25/10 | Alex Martinez ITF M25 Norman · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 24/10 | Kaylan Bigun ITF M25 Norman · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Evan Bynoe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Marko Mesarovic M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Oliver Ojakaar M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Gus Grumet M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Stian Klaassen M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Jerry Roddick M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Andrew Fenty M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 06/05 | Alex Rybakov M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Michael Antonius M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Daniel Uta M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/04 | William Grant M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matthew Forbes vs Evan Bynoe?
Our model gives 62% to Matthew Forbes, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.