Tennis · M25 Dallas · 08/07, 17:00
Prediction: Maximus Dussault vs Trevor Svajda
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 62% to Maximus Dussault; the market gives 79% to Trevor Svajda (odds 1.17).
On recent form, Maximus Dussault is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Trevor Svajda 2-8 over theirs.
61%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maximus Dussault 1523 · Trevor Svajda 1440
| Maximus Dussault | Trevor Svajda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maximus Dussault (rating 1523 vs 1440).
- Maximus Dussault is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Maximus Dussault | Trevor Svajda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 0.6-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-11.4 | 10.1-11.7 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 4 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71% | 66.2% |
| Break % | 30.3% | 38.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maximus Dussault
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Mitchell Sheldon M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Gavin Young M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Ozan Baris M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Marko Miladinovic M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Zsombor Velcz M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 09/06 | William Manning M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/01 | Matthis Ross UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 03/01 | JP Day UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 02/01 | Arman Zamani UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/12 | Chad Kissell UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Trevor Svajda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Jie Cui Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/06 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Colton Smith Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/03 | Mackenzie McDonald ATP Indian Wells · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/03 | Luca Nardi ATP Indian Wells · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/02 | Ethan Quinn ATP Dallas · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/01 | Liam Draxl Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/01 | Micah Braswell Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/10 | Justin Boulais Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maximus Dussault vs Trevor Svajda?
Our model gives 61% to Trevor Svajda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.