Tennis · M25 Dallas · 08/07, 17:00

Prediction: Andreja Petrovic vs Dakotah Bobo

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 64% to Andreja Petrovic; the market gives 77% to Andreja Petrovic (odds 1.22).

Recent form leaves Andreja Petrovic with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Dakotah Bobo has piled up 2-8 in the same span.

71%1
71% 29%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Andreja Petrovic 1528 · Dakotah Bobo 1430
Andreja PetrovicDakotah Bobo
Our model64%36%
Market77%23%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andreja Petrovic (rating 1528 vs 1430).
  • Andreja Petrovic is in better form: 60% recent wins.

Statistics

Andreja PetrovicDakotah Bobo
Win %60%30%
Win % · Clay 67% (9) 25% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.90.8-1.5
Games (G-P)10.5-9.910.2-11.8
Aces1.55.1
Double faults3.53.4
1st serve %62%70.5%
Break %45.4%54.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Andreja Petrovic

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/06 Andrea Fiorentini
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
03/05 Nick Hardt
M15 Orange Park · ~Clay
1-2 11-13 L
02/05 Raphael Perot
M15 Orange Park · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
01/05 Michael Antonius
M15 Orange Park · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
30/04 Andrew Johnson
M15 Orange Park · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
29/04 Maxime St-Hilaire
M15 Orange Park · ~Clay
2-1 17-17 W
23/04 Felix Corwin
M15 Orlando · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
22/04 Teodor Davidov
M15 Orlando · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
16/04 Yannik Alvarez
M15 Orlando · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
15/04 Felix Corwin
M15 Orlando · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W

Dakotah Bobo

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Krish Arora
M25 Dallas
2-0 13-8 W
25/05 Fajing Sun
Challenger Little Rock · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
12/05 Ryan Haviland
M25 Pensacola · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
05/05 Junior T Pichardo
M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
22/04 Ignacio Monzon
M15 Orlando · ~Clay
1-2 15-18 L
21/04 Davide Tortora
M15 Orlando · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
13/04 Carles Cordoba
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
1-2 12-12 L
08/04 Lorenzo Carboni
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
07/04 Gilles Arnaud Bailly
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
06/04 Gabriele Maria Noce
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-1 13-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Andreja Petrovic vs Dakotah Bobo?

Our model gives 71% to Andreja Petrovic, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.