Tennis · M25 Dallas · 08/07, 17:00
Prediction: Jonah Braswell vs William Manning
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Jonah Braswell; the market gives 65% to William Manning (odds 1.44).
Recent form leaves Jonah Braswell with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; William Manning has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
57%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jonah Braswell 1489 · William Manning 1478
| Jonah Braswell | William Manning | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- William Manning dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 52.6% break avg.
- Note: Jonah Braswell makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Jonah Braswell | William Manning | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-10.3 | 10.1-10 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 7.1 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 75.2% |
| Break % | 54.7% | 52.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jonah Braswell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Nathan Cox M25 Dallas |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Nicolas Arseneault M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Vladislav Melnic M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Matisse Farzam M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Sulaiman Syed M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/11 | Garrett Johns ITF M25 Austin · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/11 | Oskar Grzegorzewski ITF M25 Austin · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 30/07 | Marko Miladinovic ITF M25 Edwardsville · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 29/07 | Adam Faragcao ITF M25 Edwardsville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Alexander Okonkwo ITF M25 Louisville · Hard |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
William Manning
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Edward Winter Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Giles Hussey Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Braden Shick M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Ezekiel Clark M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Enzo Aguiard M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Bruno Kuzuhara M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 09/06 | Maximus Dussault M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/06 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Mikael Arseneault ITF M25 Edwardsville · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Oliver Ojakaar ITF M25 Edwardsville · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jonah Braswell vs William Manning?
Our model gives 57% to William Manning, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.