Tennis · Challenger Nottingham · 09/07, 12:00
Prediction: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Felix Gill
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 70% to Filip Jeff Planinsek; the market gives 73% to Felix Gill (odds 1.28).
On recent form, Filip Jeff Planinsek is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Felix Gill 2-8 over theirs.
54%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Filip Jeff Planinsek 1596 · Felix Gill 1450
| Filip Jeff Planinsek | Felix Gill | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Filip Jeff Planinsek (rating 1596 vs 1450).
- Filip Jeff Planinsek dominates on serve: 10.2 aces and 47.4% break avg.
- Filip Jeff Planinsek is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Filip Jeff Planinsek | Felix Gill | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Grass | 100% (1) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 0.8-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-10.5 | 12.2-15.1 |
| Aces | 10.2 | 6 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 79.8% | 68.7% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 26.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Filip Jeff Planinsek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Khumoyun Sultanov M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 02/07 | Aryan Shah M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Vincent Marysko M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/06 | Lucio Ratti M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 27/06 | Bor Artnak M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 26/06 | Maximilian Homberg M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Nicolas Parizzia M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Michael Gloeckler M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Felix Gill
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | William Jansen Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 29/06 | Rafael Jodar Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-19 | L |
| 24/06 | Jan Choinski ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 10/06 | Filippo Romano Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 04/06 | Kamil Majchrzak Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 22/05 | Kyrian Jacquet French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Felix Gill?
Our model gives 54% to Felix Gill, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.