Tennis · M15 San Salvador de Jujuy · 09/07, 15:00
Prediction: Juan Ignacio Gallego vs Thiago Cigarran
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Thiago Cigarran; the market gives 65% to Thiago Cigarran (odds 1.44).
On recent form, Juan Ignacio Gallego is 3-7 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Thiago Cigarran 4-6 over theirs.
60%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Ignacio Gallego 1474 · Thiago Cigarran 1510
| Juan Ignacio Gallego | Thiago Cigarran | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Juan Ignacio Gallego | Thiago Cigarran | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-11.1 | 12.7-10.6 |
| Aces | 0 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 70% |
| Break % | 37.5% | 38.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Ignacio Gallego
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Petr Iamachkine M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/06 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Ryan Dickerson Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/05 | Juan Estevez M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Enzo Lima M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 28/04 | Carlos Maria Zarate M25 Lujan · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/04 | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/04 | Lautaro Agustin Falabella UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 16/04 | Juan Bautista Otegui UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 15/04 | Ezequiel Simonit UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Thiago Cigarran
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Santiago Giamichelle M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 22/06 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/06 | Valentin Basel Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 12/06 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Juan Estevez Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Wilson Leite Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Santiago Giamichelle Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Leonel Cesar Castro Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Ignacio Gallego vs Thiago Cigarran?
Our model gives 60% to Thiago Cigarran, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.