Tennis · UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · 08/07, 19:30
Prediction: Andrea Chacon vs Lyla Byers
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Lyla Byers; the market gives 54% to Andrea Chacon (odds 1.73).
Recent form leaves Andrea Chacon with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Lyla Byers has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
52%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea Chacon 1441 · Lyla Byers 1446
| Andrea Chacon | Lyla Byers | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Andrea Chacon | Lyla Byers | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.3-11.6 | 9.4-11.6 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 48.4% | 63.5% |
| Break % | 37.5% | 37.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea Chacon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Mariana Manyoma UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Sasha Dimitrov UTR Pro Charlotte Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Lillie Murphy UTR Pro Charlotte Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/08 | Caitlin Flower UTR Pro Charlotte Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Jantje Tilbuerger UTR Pro Charlotte Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Ulyana Romanova UTR Pro Blacksburg Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Tara Gorinsek UTR Pro Blacksburg Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 01/08 | Shona Nakano UTR Pro Blacksburg Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Jaden Davidson UTR Pro Blacksburg Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Rebekkah Gaines UTR Pro Blacksburg Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Lyla Byers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12 | Lucia Fuduric UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 13/12 | Kerrigan Spiers UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/12 | Amina Salibayeva UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/12 | Georgia Kulevich UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 08/12 | Vanesa Suarez UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Natalia Perez UTR Pro Blacksburg Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Shona Nakano UTR Pro Blacksburg Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 01/08 | Emmi Kolyszko UTR Pro Blacksburg Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/07 | Tara Gorinsek UTR Pro Blacksburg Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 31/07 | Oziera Ahmad UTR Pro Blacksburg Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea Chacon vs Lyla Byers?
Our model gives 52% to Andrea Chacon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.