Tennis · UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · 08/07, 16:30
Prediction: Natalie Oliver vs Lucia Fuduric
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Lucia Fuduric; the market gives 54% to Natalie Oliver (odds 1.73).
Recent form leaves Natalie Oliver with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Lucia Fuduric has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
52%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Natalie Oliver 1445 · Lucia Fuduric 1451
| Natalie Oliver | Lucia Fuduric | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Natalie Oliver makes many double faults (6.6/match).
Statistics
| Natalie Oliver | Lucia Fuduric | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-11.6 | 8.1-10.7 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 6.6 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 58.2% | 51% |
| Break % | 32.8% | 40% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Natalie Oliver
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Addison Iacono UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Jane Dunyon UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Reese Frank UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/04 | Joanna Kennedy UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/04 | Emily Golovanov UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/04 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/04 | Tanika Saravanan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/04 | Celine Simunyu UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/04 | Yael Saffar W35 Boca Raton |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 21/03 | Mika Buchnik UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
Lucia Fuduric
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Catherine Rennard UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Anna Parkhomenko UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Amina Salibayeva UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Mayra Gisone UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/06 | Gabriella Rawles UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Ellie Myers UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/03 | Brandy Walker UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/03 | Alexis Nguyen UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/03 | Rachael Phelan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/03 | Kenzie Nguyen UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Natalie Oliver vs Lucia Fuduric?
Our model gives 52% to Natalie Oliver, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.