Tennis · Challenger Nottingham · 08/07, 12:00
Prediction: Yi Zhou vs Daniel De Jonge
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Daniel De Jonge; the market gives 77% to Yi Zhou (odds 1.22).
Over their last 10 matches, Yi Zhou sits at 8-2 (W-L), while Daniel De Jonge arrives on a 9-1 run.
63%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yi Zhou 1556 · Daniel De Jonge 1578
| Yi Zhou | Daniel De Jonge | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Daniel De Jonge dominates on serve: 7.9 aces and 49.6% break avg.
- Note: Daniel De Jonge makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Yi Zhou | Daniel De Jonge | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 70% (10) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-10.4 | 12.8-9.4 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 7.9 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 78.1% |
| Break % | 49% | 49.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yi Zhou
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Robin Catry Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Billy Harris Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 17-20 | L |
| 24/06 | Stefano Travaglia Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/06 | Guy Den Ouden Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/06 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Benjamin Willwerth Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 15/06 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/06 | James McGloughlin Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/06 | Ben Jones Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Daniel De Jonge
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Emile Hudd Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/06 | Michael Zhu Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 24/05 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/05 | Seydina Andre M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/05 | Conor Gannon M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 21/05 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/05 | Nicolas Robert M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/05 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Thomas George Brun M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/04 | Yurii Dzhavakian M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yi Zhou vs Daniel De Jonge?
Our model gives 63% to Yi Zhou, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.