Tennis · UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · 08/07, 16:30
Prediction: Susana Souhrada vs Mary Grace Rennard
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 62% to Susana Souhrada; the market gives 65% to Susana Souhrada (odds 1.44).
Over their last 10 matches, Susana Souhrada sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Mary Grace Rennard arrives on a 2-8 run.
63%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Susana Souhrada 1477 · Mary Grace Rennard 1391
| Susana Souhrada | Mary Grace Rennard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Susana Souhrada (rating 1477 vs 1391).
- Susana Souhrada is in better form: 40% recent wins.
- Note: Susana Souhrada makes many double faults (7.8/match).
Statistics
| Susana Souhrada | Mary Grace Rennard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 10% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 0.4-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-9.5 | 7-11.8 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 7.8 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 59.8% | 50% |
| Break % | 43.6% | 37.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Susana Souhrada
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Jordane Dookie Billie Jean King Cup |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Kayla Currie Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Ariel Naomi Kelsick Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 16/06 | Gabrielle Leslie Billie Jean King Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Roxana Valdez Billie Jean King Cup |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 12/06 | Victoria Osuigwe UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Chelsea Casapu UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Malwina Rowinska UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Lillian Santos UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Mary Grace Rennard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Aya Manning UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 20/05 | Kerrigan Spiers UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/05 | Georgia Kulevich UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/01 | Tzeng Mu-Jie UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 01/01 | Theodora Xantava UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 31/12 | Rachel Wu UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/12 | Ella Brownback UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/12 | Dalayna Hewitt UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 12/12 | Daniela Chica UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/12 | Reese Frank UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Susana Souhrada vs Mary Grace Rennard?
Our model gives 63% to Susana Souhrada, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.