Tennis · UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · 08/07, 15:00
Prediction: Lexie Weir vs Aya Manning
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 64% to Lexie Weir; the market gives 56% to Lexie Weir (odds 1.67).
On recent form, Lexie Weir is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Aya Manning 2-8 over theirs.
60%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lexie Weir 1548 · Aya Manning 1447
| Lexie Weir | Aya Manning | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lexie Weir (rating 1548 vs 1447).
- Lexie Weir is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Aya Manning makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Lexie Weir | Aya Manning | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-9.6 | 9.2-11.3 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.9% | 50% |
| Break % | 52.8% | 54.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lexie Weir
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Susana Souhrada UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Daniela Borruel UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Esther Vyrlan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Emily Deming UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Alexandra Wolf UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/06 | Elena Mireles UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Zuzanna Kubacha UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Lera Alexin UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Kenna Erickson UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 23/06 | Stanislava Shulzhenko UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Aya Manning
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Mary Grace Rennard UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 14/06 | Camille Kiss UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 12/06 | Alexandra Wolf UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Kohana Darroch UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/06 | Daniela Borruel UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Simone Kay UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Letizia Corsini UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Amina Salibayeva UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/06 | Alina Shcherbinina UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/03 | Veronika Kliuch UTR Pro Henderson Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lexie Weir vs Aya Manning?
Our model gives 60% to Lexie Weir, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.