Tennis · UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · 09/07, 18:00
Prediction: Lexie Weir vs Mary Grace Rennard
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 72% to Lexie Weir; the market gives 69% to Lexie Weir (odds 1.36).
Recent form leaves Lexie Weir with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Mary Grace Rennard has piled up 3-7 in the same span.
70%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lexie Weir 1572 · Mary Grace Rennard 1409
| Lexie Weir | Mary Grace Rennard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 28% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lexie Weir (rating 1572 vs 1409).
- Lexie Weir is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Lexie Weir | Mary Grace Rennard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | 11% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 0.5-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-8.9 | 7.1-11.4 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.7% | 52% |
| Break % | 59% | 39% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lexie Weir
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Aya Manning UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Susana Souhrada UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Daniela Borruel UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Esther Vyrlan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Emily Deming UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Alexandra Wolf UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/06 | Elena Mireles UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Zuzanna Kubacha UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Lera Alexin UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Kenna Erickson UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Mary Grace Rennard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Susana Souhrada UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Aya Manning UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 20/05 | Kerrigan Spiers UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/05 | Georgia Kulevich UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/01 | Tzeng Mu-Jie UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 01/01 | Theodora Xantava UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 31/12 | Rachel Wu UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/12 | Ella Brownback UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/12 | Dalayna Hewitt UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 12/12 | Daniela Chica UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lexie Weir vs Mary Grace Rennard?
Our model gives 70% to Lexie Weir, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.