Tennis · W35 Don Benito · 08/07, 11:00

Prediction: Aliesia Reva vs Viktoria Hruncakova

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Aliesia Reva; the market gives 94% to Viktoria Hruncakova (odds 1.01).

Over their last 10 matches, Aliesia Reva sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Viktoria Hruncakova arrives on a 2-8 run.

73%2
27% 73%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aliesia Reva 1481 · Viktoria Hruncakova 1468
Aliesia RevaViktoria Hruncakova
Our model52%48%
Market6%94%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Aliesia Reva makes many double faults (5/match).
  • Note: Viktoria Hruncakova makes many double faults (4.8/match).

Statistics

Aliesia RevaViktoria Hruncakova
Win %40%40%
Win % · Clay 40% (5) 67% (3)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.20.9-1.4
Games (G-P)7.9-9.310.7-11.8
Aces3.111.2
Double faults54.8
1st serve %68.8%70.4%
Break %31.5%39.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aliesia Reva

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Judit Hernandez Miranda
W35 Don Benito
2-0 12-6 W
16/06 Mavie Osterreicher
W15 Dinard · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
11/06 Polina Iatcenko
W50 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
10/06 Ashmitha Easwaramurthi
W50 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
08/06 Jian Ibrahim
W50 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
26/05 Raquel Caballero Chica
W15 Oliva · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
12/05 Alice Gillan
W15 Monzon · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
11/05 Kate Sharabura
W15 Monzon · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
03/05 Anastasia Lepskaya
W50 Lopota · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
27/04 Maria Golovina
W75 Lopota · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Viktoria Hruncakova

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/06 Rebecca Sramkova
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 12-14 L
17/06 Yeon Woo Ku
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
15/06 Hayu Kinoshita
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
10/06 Lauryn John-Baptiste
W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
31/05 Greet Minnen
WTA Birmingham · Grass
0-2 7-13 L
30/05 Heather Watson
WTA Birmingham · Grass
2-1 16-15 W
22/05 Susan Bandecchi
French Open Women · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
20/05 Bianca Andreescu
French Open Women · Clay
2-1 18-15 W
19/05 Katherine Sebov
French Open Women · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
29/04 Ruby Cooling
W35 Nottingham
1-2 12-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aliesia Reva vs Viktoria Hruncakova?

Our model gives 73% to Viktoria Hruncakova, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.