Tennis · W35 Don Benito · 08/07, 08:00
Prediction: Ann Akasha Ceuca vs Naomi McKenzie
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Naomi McKenzie; the market gives 77% to Ann Akasha Ceuca (odds 1.22).
On recent form, Ann Akasha Ceuca is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Naomi McKenzie 8-2 over theirs.
62%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ann Akasha Ceuca 1545 · Naomi McKenzie 1586
| Ann Akasha Ceuca | Naomi McKenzie | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Naomi McKenzie (rating 1545 vs 1586).
Statistics
| Ann Akasha Ceuca | Naomi McKenzie | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 100% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.6-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-8.6 | 11.2-6.4 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.4% | 63.6% |
| Break % | 47.3% | 51% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ann Akasha Ceuca
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Ipek Oz W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Kateryna Diatlova W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 11/06 | Semra Aksu W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-9 | L |
| 10/06 | Annika Barth W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 07/06 | Deniz Dilek W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Marie Villet W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/06 | Ksenia Smirnova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/06 | Ada Kumru W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Mariya Dobreva W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/05 | Deniz Dilek W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Naomi McKenzie
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Vanja Gudelj W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Himari Sato ITF W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Elena Micic ITF W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Cara Korhonen ITF W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Belle Thompson UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/08 | Kaylah McPhee UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/08 | Kirra Bond-Scott UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/08 | Grace Cadwallader UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/08 | Bridget Mihulka UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Gabriella Da Silva Fick ITF W15 Tweed Heads |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ann Akasha Ceuca vs Naomi McKenzie?
Our model gives 62% to Ann Akasha Ceuca, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.