Prediction: Xiaowei Li vs Ikumi Yamazaki
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Ikumi Yamazaki; the market gives 89% to Ikumi Yamazaki (odds 1.05).
Recent form leaves Xiaowei Li with 3 wins and 7 losses over 10 games; Ikumi Yamazaki has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
75%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xiaowei Li 1463 · Ikumi Yamazaki 1523
| Xiaowei Li | Ikumi Yamazaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ikumi Yamazaki (rating 1463 vs 1523).
- Ikumi Yamazaki is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Ikumi Yamazaki makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Xiaowei Li | Ikumi Yamazaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.5 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.6-11.5 | 11.1-11 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 48.2% | 59.5% |
| Break % | 34.6% | 49.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xiaowei Li
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Junlu Sun W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Meiqi Guo W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Yui Ohwaki W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 30/06 | Ryeong Gyeong Park W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Tiana Tian Deng W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Le Yi Liu W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Ekaterina Maklakova W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | JiaYi Wang W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Yushan Shao W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/04 | Xi Luo W50 Baotou · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Ikumi Yamazaki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Anna Snigireva W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Ke Ren W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Aishi Das W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Hiromi Abe W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/06 | Hikaru Sato W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 13/06 | Mayuka Aikawa W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/06 | Natsuki Yoshimoto W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 11/06 | Nao Nishino W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Monique Barry W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/05 | Momoko Kobori W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xiaowei Li vs Ikumi Yamazaki?
Our model gives 75% to Ikumi Yamazaki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.