Tennis · UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · 09/07, 15:00
Prediction: Andrea Chacon vs Victoria Mann
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Victoria Mann; the market gives 61% to Victoria Mann (odds 1.53).
Over their last 10 matches, Andrea Chacon sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Victoria Mann arrives on a 6-4 run.
61%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea Chacon 1439 · Victoria Mann 1513
| Andrea Chacon | Victoria Mann | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Victoria Mann (rating 1439 vs 1513).
Statistics
| Andrea Chacon | Victoria Mann | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 22% (9) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.1-10.9 | 10-9.5 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 49.1% | 58.7% |
| Break % | 36.1% | 53.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea Chacon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Lyla Byers UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Mariana Manyoma UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Sasha Dimitrov UTR Pro Charlotte Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Lillie Murphy UTR Pro Charlotte Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/08 | Caitlin Flower UTR Pro Charlotte Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Jantje Tilbuerger UTR Pro Charlotte Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Ulyana Romanova UTR Pro Blacksburg Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Tara Gorinsek UTR Pro Blacksburg Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 01/08 | Shona Nakano UTR Pro Blacksburg Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Jaden Davidson UTR Pro Blacksburg Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Victoria Mann
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Mariana Manyoma UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Valerie Shue UTR Pro Philadelphia Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Mayra Gisone UTR Pro Philadelphia Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 03/06 | Eva Frissora UTR Pro Philadelphia Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Caroline Manzi UTR Pro Philadelphia Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/04 | Sobee Oak UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 03/04 | Sadbaroy Kholdarova UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/04 | Savanna Ly-Nguyen UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/04 | Elizabeth Fauchet UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/04 | Sze Xuan Lim UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea Chacon vs Victoria Mann?
Our model gives 61% to Victoria Mann, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.