Tennis · UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · 08/07, 18:00
Prediction: Mariana Manyoma vs Victoria Mann
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 65% to Mariana Manyoma; the market gives 72% to Mariana Manyoma (odds 1.30).
On recent form, Mariana Manyoma is 8-2 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Victoria Mann 6-4 over theirs.
69%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mariana Manyoma 1616 · Victoria Mann 1509
| Mariana Manyoma | Victoria Mann | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mariana Manyoma (rating 1616 vs 1509).
- Mariana Manyoma is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Mariana Manyoma makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Mariana Manyoma | Victoria Mann | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-8.8 | 9.9-9.5 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 58.9% |
| Break % | 58% | 51.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mariana Manyoma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Andrea Chacon UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/06 | Amina Salibayeva UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/06 | Anna Parkhomenko UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 11/06 | Anna Grigoreva UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Marina Fuduric UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Nikoline Gullacksen UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/05 | Shravani Chennamsetty UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/05 | Ellison Reynoldson UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 21/05 | Skye Madatali UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/05 | Ekaterina Ivanova UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Victoria Mann
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06 | Valerie Shue UTR Pro Philadelphia Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Mayra Gisone UTR Pro Philadelphia Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 03/06 | Eva Frissora UTR Pro Philadelphia Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Caroline Manzi UTR Pro Philadelphia Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/04 | Sobee Oak UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 03/04 | Sadbaroy Kholdarova UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/04 | Savanna Ly-Nguyen UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/04 | Elizabeth Fauchet UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/04 | Sze Xuan Lim UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/11 | Elizabeth Fauchet UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mariana Manyoma vs Victoria Mann?
Our model gives 69% to Mariana Manyoma, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.