Tennis · M15 Rancho Santa Fe · 08/07, 18:00
Prediction: Benjamin O'Connell vs Noah Zamora
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Noah Zamora; the market gives 81% to Noah Zamora (odds 1.14).
Over their last 10 matches, Benjamin O'Connell sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Noah Zamora arrives on a 6-4 run.
72%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Benjamin O'Connell 1491 · Noah Zamora 1565
| Benjamin O'Connell | Noah Zamora | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Noah Zamora (rating 1491 vs 1565).
- Head-to-head: Benjamin O'Connell 0–1 Noah Zamora (1).
Statistics
| Benjamin O'Connell | Noah Zamora | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-9.8 | 10-8 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 0.5 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 68.7% |
| Break % | 35.4% | 35.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
H2H · Benjamin O'Connell 0 – 1 Noah Zamora (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Benjamin O'Connell 0–1 Noah Zamora
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/26 M15 San Diego | 0-2 | 2-9 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Benjamin O'Connell
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Noah Zamora M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-9 | L |
| 02/07 | Lance A L Castelan M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Alexander Rozin M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 24/06 | Nicholas Godsick M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/06 | Kenta Miyoshi M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Alexander Rozin M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 12/06 | Andrew Johnson M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Matic Kriznik M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/06 | William Kleege M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/05 | Filippo Romano Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Noah Zamora
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Bryce Nakashima M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Matic Kriznik M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Benjamin O'Connell M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Noah Johnston M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Jack Satterfield M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Stian Klaassen M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Kelly Giese M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Spencer Johnson M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Nathan Cox M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 04/06 | Kenta Miyoshi M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Benjamin O'Connell vs Noah Zamora?
Our model gives 72% to Noah Zamora, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.