Tennis · M25 Dallas · 07/07, 20:00
Prediction: Evan Zhu vs Jack Kennedy
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Evan Zhu; the market gives 72% to Jack Kennedy (odds 1.30).
Recent form leaves Evan Zhu with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Jack Kennedy has piled up 7-3 in the same span.
61%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Evan Zhu 1560 · Jack Kennedy 1542
| Evan Zhu | Jack Kennedy | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Evan Zhu | Jack Kennedy | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (5) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-10.7 | 12.5-12.9 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 57.2% |
| Break % | 43.9% | 56.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Evan Zhu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Xiaoyin Yang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 04/06 | Geun Jun Kim M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/05 | Jake Delaney M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/05 | Sora Fukuda M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 29/05 | Shu Matsuoka M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Yua Taka M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/05 | Colin Sinclair M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
Jack Kennedy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Liam Broady Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 30/06 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/05 | Alex Marti Pujolras M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Keaton Hance M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 21/05 | David Naharro M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/05 | Ilias Zimmermann M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/05 | Daniel Rincon M25 Vic |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 15/05 | Johan Nikles M25 Vic |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 14/05 | Emilien Demanet M25 Vic |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Evan Zhu vs Jack Kennedy?
Our model gives 61% to Jack Kennedy, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.